玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.1667.36-41.850.39-38.010.39N/A-
2024/20.1-30.49-56.530.23-35.060.42N/A係出貨量減少所致
2024/10.14-24.89-1.130.14-1.130.44N/A-
2023/120.1849.56-26.272.09-44.250.430.07-
2023/110.12-3.98-51.131.91-45.520.380.08營收下降係因銷量大幅減少所致
2023/100.13-0.44-41.171.79-45.090.410.07-
2023/90.13-18.82-52.481.66-45.370.460.06營收下降係因銷量大幅減少所致
2023/80.16-12.1-12.711.53-44.680.520.06-
2023/70.18-4.29-24.351.37-46.910.550.05-
2023/60.193.64-25.481.19-49.180.560.07-
2023/50.18-6.72-44.481.01-52.020.650.06係出貨量減少所致。
2023/40.19-29.48-53.220.83-53.40.690.06係出貨量減少所致。
2023/30.2725.12-43.410.63-53.460.630.05主係出貨量減少所致。
2023/20.2258.07-45.090.36-59.030.610.05主係出貨量減少所致。
2023/10.14-43.98-70.760.14-70.760.640.05主係出貨量減少所致。
2022/120.25-0.86-49.13.75-30.610.710.06-
2022/110.2515.57-41.863.5-28.780.740.05-
2022/100.22-19.59-57.293.25-27.530.670.06係銷量大幅減少所致
2022/90.2749.13-51.53.04-23.740.690.06係銷量大幅減少所致
2022/80.18-23.82-66.722.77-19.250.670.06係銷量大幅減少所致
2022/70.24-5.73-54.272.59-10.330.810.05主係銷量大幅減少所致
2022/60.25-22.78-47.992.35-0.720.990.05-
2022/50.33-21.41-29.722.111.381.220.04-
2022/40.41-14.7-6.321.7724.771.30.04-
2022/30.4921.428.581.3638.81.360.03-
2022/20.4-15.8346.210.8764.141.360.03本年累計營業收入較去年增加,主要係出貨量增加所致
2022/10.47-2.4883.030.4783.031.390.03本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係出貨量增加所致
2021/120.4913.2344.645.422.331.420.04-
2021/110.43-15.0920.184.9220.491.490.03-
2021/100.51-8.733.34.4920.521.60.03-
2021/90.552.3490.063.9819.071.610.02本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係市場價格上漲及出貨量增加所致
2021/80.544.6814.053.4312.281.540.03-
2021/70.527.233.222.8811.961.460.03-
2021/60.484.354.952.378.181.390.02-
2021/50.464.746.481.889.041.350.02-
2021/40.44-1.118.071.429.911.160.03-
2021/30.4563.4924.780.9810.750.980.02-
2021/20.275.35-1.430.531.210.870.02-
2021/10.26-22.934.160.264.160.950.02-
2020/120.34-5.91-1.634.42-26.031.070.03-
2020/110.36-5.82-34.24.08-27.521.030.03-
2020/100.3830.16-46.093.72-26.81.150.03-
2020/90.29-38.58-49.93.34-23.71.160.03-
2020/80.4822.28-11.973.05-19.681.320.03-
2020/70.39-15.54-26.292.58-20.961.280.03-
2020/60.465.87-28.252.19-19.931.30.03-
2020/50.436.31-21.171.73-17.381.20.03-
2020/40.4114.17-3.411.29-16.021.040.04-
2020/30.3629.14-15.740.88-20.80.880.08-
2020/20.2811.33-15.720.53-23.910.870.08-
2020/10.25-27.22-31.340.25-31.341.130.06-
2019/120.34-37.06-42.915.97-23.421.590.05-
2019/110.54-22.85-13.95.63-21.81.830.04-
2019/100.720.967.465.09-22.561.830.04-
2019/90.587.9229.434.38-25.891.650.05-
2019/80.542.39-6.683.8-30.451.710.05-
2019/70.53-17.8-24.243.26-33.261.720.05-
2019/60.6416.3127.892.73-34.761.620.05-
2019/50.5530.26-9.252.09-43.280.0N/A-
2019/40.42-0.39-53.891.54-49.990.0N/A係產業景氣變化所致
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.142023/10.142022/10.472021/10.262020/10.25
2024/20.12023/20.222022/20.42021/20.272020/20.28
2024/30.162023/30.272022/30.492021/30.452020/30.36
N/AN/A2023/40.192022/40.412021/40.442020/40.41
N/AN/A2023/50.182022/50.332021/50.462020/50.43
N/AN/A2023/60.192022/60.252021/60.482020/60.46
N/AN/A2023/70.182022/70.242021/70.522020/70.39
N/AN/A2023/80.162022/80.182021/80.542020/80.48
N/AN/A2023/90.132022/90.272021/90.552020/90.29
N/AN/A2023/100.132022/100.222021/100.512020/100.38
N/AN/A2023/110.122022/110.252021/110.432020/110.36
N/AN/A2023/120.182022/120.252021/120.492020/120.34
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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