玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
22Q4 (20)1.320.0-45.230.20-45.95-83.7469.020.0382.88453.2582.5512.58107.635.2952.52414.6492.73907.39
22Q3 (19)1.32-38.6-31.960.37-53.75-63.7369.0063.1247.0248.36117.14177.75102.2214.2118.13215.14220.24331.75
22Q2 (18)2.15-0.465.390.80-28.57-44.0642.300.62-5.11114.3840.979.7689.507.6940.0667.1867.4951.61
22Q1 (17)2.16-10.375.881.12-8.94-15.7942.0411.39-5.5781.189.7219.0783.1117.7717.8240.11-2.55-4.86
21Q4 (16)2.4124.232.121.2320.59-16.8937.74-19.6-2.1573.99-17.2620.1970.57-18.446.8141.16-17.420.85
21Q3 (15)1.94-4.9-19.171.02-28.67-32.046.945.2923.9589.4240.5346.9386.5335.4139.8449.8312.4635.22
21Q2 (14)2.040.0-33.551.437.525.9344.580.1350.3563.63-6.67-5.8763.90-9.4112.1244.315.110.06
21Q1 (13)2.04-13.56-0.491.33-10.1449.4444.5215.430.4568.1810.75-33.5570.546.77-17.742.1623.78-31.13
20Q4 (12)2.36-1.6710.81.48-1.3311.2838.571.85-9.6161.561.15-9.8666.076.77-6.3234.06-7.57-15.76
20Q3 (11)2.40-21.8212.151.5011.1111.9437.8727.72-10.8760.86-9.97-10.4361.888.58-4.3336.85-8.47-19.47
20Q2 (10)3.0749.7636.441.3551.6916.3829.65-33.1-26.7567.60-34.11-14.1456.99-33.51-5.6940.26-34.24-31.51
20Q1 (9)2.05-3.7610.220.89-33.08-14.4244.323.87-9.33102.6050.2417.385.7121.5239.9661.2251.42-18.5
19Q4 (8)2.13-0.4719.661.33-0.7522.0242.670.42-16.3868.290.5-18.2670.539.0429.3240.43-11.65-49.48
19Q3 (7)2.14-4.891.421.3415.5231.3742.494.97-1.5167.95-13.69-23.7664.687.03-0.6845.76-22.15-31.85
19Q2 (6)2.2520.972.271.1611.5414.8540.48-17.18-2.2778.73-9.99-12.9760.43-1.32-15.4858.78-21.75-2.63
19Q1 (5)1.864.49-12.261.04-4.59-5.4548.88-4.2113.7887.474.695.5861.2412.28-14.2575.12-6.1438.11
18Q4 (4)1.78-15.640.01.096.860.051.0318.290.083.55-6.260.054.54-16.250.080.0319.180.0
18Q3 (3)2.11-4.090.01.020.990.043.144.150.089.13-1.470.065.12-8.920.067.1511.230.0
18Q2 (2)2.203.770.01.01-8.180.041.42-3.580.090.469.190.071.500.110.060.3710.990.0
18Q1 (1)2.120.00.01.100.00.042.960.00.082.850.00.071.420.00.054.390.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2022 (10)8.1813.142.29-46.544.60-11.68159.6887.1173.87-18.85130.41190.96
2021 (9)7.23-23.334.28-29.0250.5030.4685.3441.0891.0341.1344.8229.2
2020 (8)9.4322.956.0325.6338.71-18.6160.49-20.4364.505.1334.69-44.26
2019 (7)7.67-4.484.80-4.9547.564.6476.025.2261.353.6562.246.39
2018 (6)8.038.815.0513.4845.45-8.1172.25-11.9259.19-5.6758.50-14.91
2017 (5)7.38-42.614.45-36.7949.4674.2282.0358.1562.75105.468.7538.27
2016 (4)12.8607.04028.39051.87030.55049.720

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